Now, it's Barnes who is relatively unknown among Wisconsin voters. Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. Both the Senate and gubernatorial races remain highly partisan. Legal Statement. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Liberal groups in Wisconsin seeking to change rules governing absentee ballots suffered a blow this week after an appeals court and a circuit judge ruled that ballots cannot contain partial addresses of witnesses. Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East School culture wars fuel top House GOP bill, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. A Fox News survey of. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. or redistributed. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. Johnson got a boost from voters'. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. Democrats won or held onto key seats, including John Fettermans win over Republican Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. "In 2016, they were almost all wrong and Ron Johnson pulled off the biggest surprise in Wisconsin Political History," said the statement. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Mandela Barnes. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. The Associated Press calls the race for Johnson at 11:46 AM. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Well over half (57 percent) of voters in the state said they disapproved of the job Biden is doing as president, and only 40 percent approved. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Market data provided by Factset. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. Home; News. Mandela Barnes faced off Thursday in their second debate, clashing over crime and abortion in a series of heated exchanges.. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Barnes' lead disappeared after Johnson's campaign and Republican groups went on the attack with negative ads. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Johnson has said he supports an abortion ban that includes exceptions for rape, incest and the life of the mother, but has not called for the Legislature to change the states 1849 law. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. A central Wisconsin food pantry grew fivefold during the pandemic. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. 2023 by Wisconsin Public Radio, a service of the Wisconsin Educational Communications Board and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. defeated former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold, Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. It's official: Mandela Barnes has the best chance of anyone in this Senate primary to defeat Ron Johnson. On the presidential level, Wisconsin has voted for the Democratic nominee in every election from 1988 to 2020 except for 2016, when Trump narrowly defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in the Badger State. Sign up now! Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. After midnight, the gap between Barnes and Johnson closed slightly and the audience in Neenah became less energetic. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. That poll . Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . Democrats had initially been hopeful that they could oust Johnson, who was increasingly defined by headlines over his statements on issues such as abortion, his perpetuation of dubious and unproven Covid treatments, and his ties to the Jan. 6 riot and fake elector plot to help throw the 2020 election to then-President Donald Trump. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. 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